All Macro-Thematic Trend Reports:

First crack in Bessent’s “detox” narrative emerges as 6% SPX decline drives 3 bp rise in 10y UST yields (FFTT, 3/18/25)

“Look what I have to do is build a strong country. You can’t really watch the stock market. If you look at China, they have a 100-year perspective. We go by quarters, and you can’t go by that. You have to do what’s right. We’re building a tremendous foundation for the future, a tremendous foundation. Everything’s been taken away. We don’t make ships anymore…Honda, Toyota, they’re all coming in. You take a look at what’s

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Bessent, investors about to learn WHY Biden Admin “over-relied on excessive government spending” (FFTT, 3/4/25)

Before he came into office, Bessent had repeatedly criticized then-Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen for boosting the share of bills, which mature in up to a year, in US debt — something he argued held down longer-term yields and was done to boost the economy before the election. Yet Bessent retained the Yellen team’s plan for debt issuance earlier this month.     -Bloomberg, 2/20/25 Asked about his past comments, Bessent said Thursday that “the previous administration shortened some of the duration,

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Trump Exec Order tells China to sell US stocks;  USD weakness via US capital outflows cometh? (FFTT, 2/25/25)

At a global level, there is just one really big surplus (China) – and one really big deficit (the US).  That in a sense makes global adjustment easy.    -Brad Setser, Council on Foreign Relations, via X, 2/5/25 When paired with Setser’s chart on the prior page, the inference is that China has recycled a substantial portion of its world-leading surpluses into US equities, and specifically, the Nasdaq 100.  i.e., the Nasdaq 100 is the biggest

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