
Sharply higher real rates trigger chaotic US NIIP unwind; MOVE Index nears levels that have presaged intervention (FFTT, 9/29/26)
…if global real interest rates returned tomorrow to their historical average of roughly 2%, given the existing level of US government debt and large continuing projected deficits, the US would likely experience an immediate fiscal dominance problem.– Charles Calomiris, St. Louis Fed white paper, 6/2/23 …suppose that the demand for government bonds implies an interest rate on bonds greater than the economy’s rate of growth. Then, if the fiscal authority runs deficits, the monetary authority
